Every drug program has a breaking point

Conviction isn't evidence.We find what is.

Independent, AI-native scientific scrutiny for those who bet on drugs.

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You check Carfax before you buy a car.

When you bet on a drug, you check Prelucis.

Why we exist
The evidence

It is scattered

It hides across decades of literature, thousands of trials, every comparable program and its fate, and the regulatory record — more than any team can connect by hand. Not a failure of skill. A failure of scale.

The investor

Conviction blinds

Once you're in, you've fallen in love — and the loudest conviction in the room becomes the house view. No one wants to be the one who says it breaks.

The check

So we stress it

We read it all — at machine scale — then apply pressure until the fault lines show. We hand you what's underneath, before the catalyst does.

We don't ask whether it works.
We ask how it breaks.

What we examine

We read the whole record — not the part that got published.

Most of what a program reveals is scattered, buried, or never written where you would look. We read across all of it — continuously — and connect it into one picture.

250+
distinct evidence sources
Global
every major regulator — not just the FDA
Continuous
re-read as the record moves
01

The published science

Decades of literature — far more than any team can read by hand.

02

The global trial record

Every registered trial and its fate — including the ones that quietly stopped.

03

The regulatory record

Approvals, rejections, and every concern raised along the way — worldwide.

04

Real-world & safety signals

What surfaces after launch, where programs break in the open.

05

Preclinical & translational data

Where a mechanism is first stress-tested — and often first fails.

06

Where others don’t look

The failure record, and signals that sit outside the obvious sources.

Not more data — the sources no one connects, read together and put under pressure.

The method

We start from failure.

The record is built on success — wins get published, failure stays buried and confidential. But failure is where the signal lives, and it vastly outnumbers the wins. We start there: surfacing what failure leaves behind and folding in the rest, to rebuild a picture more complete than the one you were told.

How it works
01

Read everything, at machine scale.

We ingest everything above — and more — far past what any desk could read by hand, then connect it into one picture.

02

Apply adversarial pressure.

We don’t look for reasons it works. We attack it — where the endpoint bends, where the mechanism won’t travel, where comparable programs died.

03

Deliver traced, confidence-weighted findings.

Every fault line carries its provenance and a calibrated confidence — each stated on its own, never rolled into one number.

Executive Summary Program Teardown Prelucis · Ref PR–0417 · 14 Jun 2026 · Asset X · Phase III
Confidential
01

The break is at the endpoint.

Responder-subgroup sensitivity collapses once placebo drift is normalised. The registered analysis masks it.

Confidence0.82 Provenance16 primary sources
02

The mechanism does not travel.

Unsupported beyond the lead indication. Three analogous programs failed on the same axis.

Confidence0.74 Provenance9 primary sources
03

The regulatory path is contested.

It assumes a surrogate endpoint the agency has twice declined to accept.

Confidence0.69 Provenance6 primary sources
Confidence — a calibrated probability the finding holds, from base rates and evidence strength; tracked to outcomes.   Provenance — every claim traces to primary evidence.
Each finding opens into a full evidenced section — methods, data, comparators, sources. Never compounded into a single score. See the full report
Early access

See where it breaks — before the catalyst.

Prelucis is in private release with a small number of funds.